The Dow Jones industrial average and S&P 500 officially wiped out their year-to-date losses this week, as the weight of the Fed was lifted from investors’ shoulders. If the Dow can hold its gains through the end of the month, it would mark the biggest quarterly comeback since 1933.
But if you’re expecting another big move from here, one technician warns you might have to cool your heels.
“I think the problem for the [market] is that it just might not get much better than this,” Rich Ross said Thursday on “Power Lunch” in a “Trading Nation” segment. The Dow has rallied 12 percent from its Feb. 11 low.
On a short-term chart of the Dow, Ross noted that the index has formed a double bottom, which is similar to what was seen during the August and September swoon. This type of pattern describes when a stock falls to a low, rallies and then drops to the same low only to rebound another time.
“We failed miserably back in October,” said Ross. “We expect that to happen again.”
Furthermore, he noted that a two-year distributive top on the blue chip index shows that the likelihood of resuming a rip-roaring bull market is slim.
“When you zoom out and look at the weekly chart, you are staring at a six-year bull market with a two-year distributive top,” said the head of technical analysis at Evercore ISI. “I think this marks the end of a bull market.”
Dow Industrials aiming to mark biggest quaterly comeback since 1933
March 18, 2016 by Leave a Comment