US ISM Manufacturing PMI | May 1, 2017 | Forex Trading

Event Details At-A-Glance:

US ISM Manufacturing PMI and Non-Manufacturing PMI are both scheduled ahead of the NFP his week, market participants will be paying close attention to these releases as any sharp surprises will change market sentiment all the way until Friday.


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Here´s the forecast:
10:00am NY Time US ISM Manufacturing PMI Forecast 56.6 Previous 57.2
DEVIATION: 2.0 (BUY USD 58.6 / SELL USD 54.6)

Trade Plan
We´ll be looking for around 2.0 points of deviation for this trade. If a 54.6 or worse number is released, we could see some USD weakness, therefore SELL USD. If the opposite is true, or 58.6 figure is released, expect to see stronger USD in the short term, therefore we should BUY USD.

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If our tradable releases are reached, there is a good expectation of 50 pips of market movement within the next 60 minutes on USD. I’ll be trading this release using my retracement Trading Method.

I’d recommend to use the Recommended Pairs above as they are based on my CSM and should give you the best combination of currencies to trade in the event of a better/worse news… of course, you can always trade the default pair for this release: EURUSD.




Outlook Score
Outlook score is derived from market sentiment, focus, and economic indicators for the currency. It represents the long-term trend of the currency and its market perception. In short, a strong Outlook Score means more long-term demand for the currency, and a weak Outlook Score is the opposite.

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation´s currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company´s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.


Currency Pair Stats
2H-50+ = % of 50+ pips move in 2hrs. | 2H-50 = % of 50+ pips move in 2hrs. for the last 2 years | Range = average range in 2 hrs. | Direction = % match following news direction | PN30 / PN60 / PN90 = average pips move before news release in 30, 60, or 90 mins. period | Spike = initial average spike
About Henry Liu

My name is Henry Liu and I am a Forex Trader and Mentor. I help traders achieve consistent income trading Forex while spending less time trading. My focus in trading is a combination of Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, and Market Sentiment. Far too many retail Forex traders concentrate on just one aspect of trading, technical analysis, and ignore everything else; it is my goal (and vision) to educate every trader on how to take advantage of news trading and become more balanced traders.

You can find more information about me on my Google Profile.

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