ECB (European Central Bank) will be rendering its rate decision today, and it will have a pivotal short term impact on the Euro dollar. However, it is widely believed that ECB will keep rates unchanged at 0.75%… Here´s the forecast:
7:45am (NY Time) EU ECB Rate Decision Forecast 0.75% Previous 0.75%
The Trade Plan
However, in the unlikely event that ECB surprises the market by cutting rates 25 basis points or more, then expect market to go into a selling frenzy and we should jump in immediately on a spike trade because no matter what the slippage or spread is, we will end up making positive pips. Of course, if ECB decides to keep rates unchanged to as expected at 0.75%, then we should see relatively no change in the market as this lack of move is expected… Please follow the recommendations above ONLY if ECB surprises the market.
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I’d recommend to use the Recommended Pairs from above as they are based on my CSM, which should provide the best combination of currency pairs to trade based on better/worse news… of course, you can also trade the default pair: EURUSD.
EU ECB Interest Rate | November 8, 2012 | Forex News Plan
November 2, 2012 by Leave a Comment