Recent Analysis

Forex Weekly Outlook May 22 ~ 26, 2017

We’ve got just 3 tradable releases scheduled this week, but these 3 releases have the potential of changing the entire market landscape, so my recommendation is to schedule your tradings around it, or at least be aware of them and either move with the trend or stay out of the way! May 24, 2017 10:00am [...]

Forex Weekly Outlook – May 15 ~ 19, 2017

We got plenty of high impact news scheduled this week, here’s a brief list of tradable releases, for a complete analysis along with Forecast and Previous figures, make sure to visit our Forex Calendar page. Here’s a brief list (all in US Eastern Standard Time): Tue May 16 4:30am UK CPI y/y Wed May 17 [...]

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CURRENCY OUTLOOK SCORES

 

 

   
 

 

   
 

 

   
 

 

   
 

 

   
 

 

   
 

 

   
 

 

   
score fundamental outlook trend
 55 and above  Positive Fundamental Outlook   Up trend
 50 to 54  Neutral Fundamental Outlook   Neutral Trend
 49 and below  Negative Fundamental Outlook   Down trend

Outlook Score is a score assigned to the currency based on economic indicators and high-impact news releases such as: central bank speeches, breaking news, political developments, etc… A score between -3 to +3 is assigned to each scheduled events based on its importance, market focus, and surprise factor. For instance, the Non-farm Payroll should have more impact than the New Home Sales figure in the U.S., but if the New Home Sales comes out 100K more than forecast, it should have equal effect on the USD (as compared to NFP) in the long-term.


The Outlook Score is the summary of all of the individual scores assigned to each news releases that matters, and the score is carried over from month to month… this is based on the idea that fundamental sentiments are also carried over from month to month…


The score is modeled after the PMI (Purchasing Manager’s Index) releases, so we start at 50, and any number above 50 is considered positive, or below 50 as negative:


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