UK Retail Sales | February 21, 2014 | Currency Trading

UK Retail Sales is expected to come in at -0.9% and we’ll be looking for a deviation of 0.5%. Considering that the last month’s release was a whopping 2.6%, a bit of correction in today’s figure could get considered as normal, as long as there aren’t any strong downward revisions for the prior release. 4:30am […]

US Core CPI | December 17, 2013 | Currency News

US Core CPI is expected to remain around the 0.1%, and because there is no inflationary pressure at this time, market is not expecting any huge reaction from this release unless of surprise.  With the year coming to an end, market will be in autopilot and I wouldn’t go into this release with high expectations. […]

UK Retail Sales | November 14, 2013 | Currency Trading

UK Retail Sales is expected to come in at 0.0%, which is a huge drop from the previous release of 0.6%.  We’ll be trading this release using our usual deviation and if we get a strong release, we should see demand for Sterling move up.  One thing to note is that the Quarterly Inflation report […]

US Core CPI | October 30, 2013 | Currency News

US Core CPI is expected to remain around the 0.2%, and because there is no inflationary pressure at this time, market widely expects the Fed to keep stimulus in place, unless we get a strong upward surprise today, but that’s even more unlikely than to get a 300K NFP release next Friday. 8:30am (NY Time) […]

UK Retail Sales | September 19, 2013 | Currency Trading

UK Retail Sales is expected to come in at 0.5%, which is a drop from previous 1.1%.  With recent positive sentiment brewing for the Sterling, another strong Retail Sales release will deifnitely add more speculation that BOE may adjust its forecast, thus move up the timetable for rate hike…  Here is the forecast for this […]

US Core CPI | September 17, 2013 | Currency News

US Core CPI is part of the dual mandate of the Fed’s monetary policy, therefore on a strong surprise release today, market should react with plenty of volatility, especially when the FOMC Meeting is just a day away.  Here´s the forecast for the CPI: 8:30am (NY Time) US Core CPI m/m Forecast 0.1% Previous 0.2% […]

CA Core CPI | August 23, 2013 | Currency News

is expected to be flat today as most analysts predict the release to come in at 0.0%.  If we were to get a strong surprise in either direction, we should see plenty of market reaction, but since CAD is more of a range trading currency, don’t expect any trend breaking reactions today from this release. […]

UK Retail Sales | August 15, 2013 | Currency Trading

UK Retail Sales is likely to show improvements as UK’s economy shows signs of recovery. If today’s release beat expectation by at least our deviation, it’s going to be a confirmation that the market needed to position short-term bets for LONG GBP.  Here is the forecast for this release: 4:30am (NY Time) UK Retail Sales […]

CA Core CPI | July 19, 2013 | Currency News

CA Core CPI today is expected to drop by 0.3% compared to previous month’s 0.2%.  Canada’s inflationary pressure has been a bit behind BOC’s target, a contraction beyond 0.3% could spark some stimulus talk, thus drive CAD weaker… Here´s the forecast: 8:30am CA Core CPI m/m Forecast -0.2% Previous 0.2% DEVIATION: 0.3% (BUY CAD 0.1% […]

UK Retail Sales | April 18, 2013 | Currency Trading

UK Retail Sales today will be the last high impact release out of UK this week, and depending on the figure, market could follow the trend after the release all the way to the end of the week, and perhaps for the rest of the month.  With the previous release surprising the market at 2.1%, […]

US New Home Sales | March 26, 2013 | Currency Trading

US New Home Sales today is likely to show the continuation of the housing sector’s recovery. If we get a significantly better release, we should see further strength in the USD.  US New Home Sales usually follows the trend of the US Existing Home Sales, therefore we´re likely to see similar release today, which is roughly […]

US Core CPI | March 15, 2013 | Currency News

US Core CPI release today will be an important release, especially if it surprises to the upside because after last week’s NFP, a sharp rise in CPI will drive up speculation for an early ending of QE3.  We´ll be trading US Core CPI m/m release using the following trading plans: 8:30am (NY Time) US Core […]

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