Central Banks Maintain Rate Hikes Amid Market Turmoil, Prioritizing Long-Term Stability
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Central Banks Maintain Rate Hikes Amid Market Turmoil, Prioritizing Long-Term Stability
Central banks around the world are currently facing a tricky balancing act. On the one hand, they need to control inflation through interest rate hikes, while on the other hand, they must calm markets shaken by recent turmoil in the banking sector. As a result, the Federal Reserve recently raised interest rates by 25 basis points, and central banks in Switzerland, Norway, and the U.K. followed suit shortly after. To date, ten developed countries have raised rates by 3,290 basis points.
However, Japan remains the holdout dove. Here’s a closer look at where policymakers stand, ranging from hawkish to dovish:
1. United States: The Fed recently raised rates by a quarter point, signaling its most aggressive rate hikes since the 1980s. The central bank also eased market concerns caused by the collapse of U.S. lenders Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and UBS’s takeover of rival Credit Suisse.
2. New Zealand: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has been slowing its tightening pace, recently raising rates by 50 bps to a 14-year high of 4.75% in February. It held its peak rate forecast at 5.5%, stating it’s too early to assess the policy implications of severe flooding in January.
3. Canada: The Bank of Canada became the first major central bank to halt monetary tightening during this cycle. It held its key overnight interest rate at 4.50% and planned to have it there if inflation drops to 3% at about mid-year.
4. Britain: The Bank of England raised rates by 25 bps on Thursday and noted the “large and volatile moves” in financial markets caused by the banking turmoil. However, it stated that Britain’s banking system remained resilient and expected the surge of British inflation to cool faster than before.
5. Australia: Australia’s central bank recently raised its key rate by a quarter point to 3.6% but hinted that rate hikes may be over for now. Governor Philip Lowe stated that monetary policy was “in the restrictive territory” and that the bank’s board would react if data supported a pause.
6. Norway: Norway’s central bank hiked rates by 25 basis points to 3% on Thursday and signaled that more hikes were coming. The Norges Bank raised its rates forecasts and said that it would likely hike rates again in May and after that to hit 3.5% by the summer.
7. Euro Zone: The European Central Bank raised its deposit rate by another 50 bps, bringing it to 3%, the highest since October 2008. This was its sixth successive hike.
Related Facts:
– The recent turmoil in the banking sector that has shaken markets has revived memories of the 2008 global financial crisis.
– Central banks must balance the need to control inflation through higher interest rates with calming the markets.
– Global central banks have raised rates by 3,290 basis points (bp) in this cycle.
Key takeaway:
Central banks worldwide have been busy raising interest rates in recent months. However, they must do so carefully to avoid causing further market turbulence. The recent turmoil in the banking sector has revived memories of the 2008 financial crisis, and central banks must juggle the need for inflation control with the need to calm markets.
Conclusion:
The world’s central banks will likely continue to raise interest rates in the coming months, but they must do so carefully. Recent market turmoil has shown that even small rate hikes can cause significant turbulence, and central banks must keep this in mind as they move forward. It remains to be seen how successful they will be in maintaining inflation controlled and the markets calm.