U.S. consumer spending rose more than expected in June as households bought a range of goods and services, showing underlying strength heading into the third quarter.
Despite healthy consumer spending, Tuesday’s report from the Commerce Department showed inflation still muted. Economists say this, together with weak business spending and the second quarter’s anemic economic growth pace, could encourage a cautious Federal Reserve to keep interest rates at current low levels for a while.
“The continued buoyancy in consumption expenditures points to a favorable handoff to the third quarter, but the soft price pressures add to the narrative of the weakening inflationary backdrop, which will argue for caution at the Fed,” said Millan Mulraine, deputy chief economist at TD Securities in New York.
Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, increased 0.4 percent in June after a similar gain in May. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast consumer spending advancing 0.3 percent.
When adjusted for inflation, consumer spending rose 0.3 percent after climbing 0.2 percent in May.
The June data was included in last week’s second-quarter gross domestic product report, which showed that consumer spending rose at a 4.2 percent annual rate, the fastest in nearly two years. That jump accounted for almost all of the economy’s 1.2 percent growth pace during the period.
An inventory drawdown was behind the bulk of the economy’s poor performance in the second quarter, with other drags coming from persistently weak business investment, as well as a decline in spending on residential construction and weak government outlays.
The dollar was trading weaker against a basket of currencies. Prices for U.S. government debt were lower and stocks on Wall Street fell.